Outsyed The Box : Iran-Israel Conclict at whose Expense?

Ehud Barak et Condoleezza Rice.

Image via Wikipedia

Israeli Defense minister implies a strike on Iran nuclear program is near outsyed the box 5 feb 2012

The current standoff with Iran is similar to the ‘fateful’ period before the 1967 Arab-Israel war, when Israel launched a preemptive strike, said Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak. Tensions between Israel and Iran are on the rise after a group of top Israeli leaders engaged in a round of saber-rattling on Thursday and Iran’s Supreme Leader answered on Friday with a pledge to “remove” Israel. Speaking at the Herzliya Interdisciplinary Center‘s annual conference, Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak compared the current standoff with Iran to the “fateful” period before the 1967 Arab-Israeli War, when Israel launched a preemptive strike against Egypt.

Even though Israeli leaders have been heartened by international sanctions targeting Iran’s nuclear program, which Iran insists is for peaceful purposes only, the chorus of warnings from Israel reflect growing anxiety among some leaders that Iran may still obtain a nuclear bomb. “The temperature is rising in Israel,” says Meir Javedanfar, an Iran analyst in Tel Aviv. He says that if the defense minister sees the current period as similar to the run-up to the [1967] Six-Day War, “that gives credibility to those who think Israel is going to launch an attack.”

My comments : The Israelis have never shied away from doing what they want to do. Their Air Force is cutting edge, perhaps the most technologically advanced Air Force in the world in terms of combat information and systems integration. In the past the Israeli Air Force has succesfully carried out long distance operations like the hostage rescue in Entebbe, rescuing Falasha Jews in Ethiopia, attacking the Iraqi nuclear reactor at Osirak twice. The first attack on Osirak was undertaken under cover of the Iran – Iraq war. The attack was done so secretly that the Iraqis thought it was the Iranians who had attacked them. The Israelis have also bombed a Syrian nuclear facility at Al Kibar in 2007. Some analysts say that the Al Kibar strike was a trial run for the planned strike against Iran. The Syrians had the same Russian made anti aircraft defense missile system as the Iranians (which the Iranians have since upgraded).

If the Israelis carry out the attack and fail (many analysts expect Israel to fail) it will cause major chaos in the Middle East. The Israelis will most certainly have to fly over Jordan and Saudi Arabia (and Iraq as well). If the Iranian capacity for retaliation is not destroyed, Iran may retaliate against all these countries. If this happens, the crisis will escalate and the US will be drawn into the clash. Other European countries will also be pulled into the conflict directly or otherwise. The Sunni Arab countries, especially those in the Gulf will plead for American help against Iranian retaliation. The oil price will go up to the sky (and so will gold prices). On the other hand if Israel succesfully takes out the five major Iranian nuclear sites (plus more) and also destroys or diminishes the Iranian counter strike, all the Sunni Arab nations, Europe, Japan and the US will rejoice. A major source of tension would have been taken out.

If there is a strike, the ever tighter economic sanctions against Iran will be further tightened. Israeli submarines may attack Iranian oil terminals. The Iranian people will suffer. There will be serious soul searching in Iran. Ahmedinajad will be under great stress. 2012 may be apocalyptic for Iran. I feel that the only way to defeat the Israelis or the US or the West is to spend our money and brains making washing machines, mobile phones, cars, refrigerators and other boring things like that. Dengan ehsan Bloger Outsyed the Box , 5 Feb 2012.

Posted by Syed Akbar Ali at 5:56:00 PM   4 comments:

Anonymous said…

i just read what carter (ex US president) said in TIME magazine last week.

The world should push the nuclear disarming towrads israeli of which they have 300 warheads whereas Iran could have only 3 warheads.

looks like israel and US are bullying iran. guess, must be about oil again.

Sunday, February 05, 2012 6:44:00 PM

sampalee said…

Apocalyps is a latin word for lifting of the veil [which the Hindu called the dance of leila]

This narrow window of time when the veil is lifted will give mankind the rare insight we are All one and the Apparent seperation into entities is an illusion [the veil]

All deception will be exposed to the light of Truth and neutralised.Those mainly affected will be politicians.The phenomena will not be only for Iran,but the entire world.The Buddhist named this era the Dharma ending age and for the hindu the advent of the

kaliyog.The mayan tell about the great change [Doomsday for the evil who do not take refuge in Tuhan]It is pointless trying to save the politicians[out of compassion] as like lord Jesus said,it will be like casting pearl before the swine.

Sunday, February 05, 2012 7:02:00 PM

vinnan said…

‘I feel that the only way to defeat the Israelis or the US or the West is to spend our money and brains making washing machines, mobile phones, cars, refrigerators and other boring things like that.’

Impossible under “Ketuanan Islam” and “Ketuanan Arab”. Muslims do not have and will never have the capacity to take on the world again. One more thing that much vaunted Israeli air force are also training the Singapore air force. Singapore did not buy the F15 ground attack Strike Eagles as defensive weapons.

Sunday, February 05, 2012 7:21:00 PM

Anonymous said…

Tuan Syed,

Majority Orang Melayu tak mau belajar Sains dan Teknologi..sebab yang dok memerintah dalam Parti Politik, Pentadbiran Putra Jaya, GLCs, Perbankan, MRT Co…..majoritinya orang sastera dan sains sosial..buat apa susah-susah belajar sains dan matematik kerana akhirnya jadi hamba kepada orang sastera dan sosial sains. Anak aku aku suruh buat Sains Lembut (Soft Sains, belajar Bacelor in Busines Study). Aku dok plan anak aku satu hari akan pegang pangkat JUSA kat EPU, Jabtan Perdana Menteri atau jadi CEO Sime Darby, atau jadi Gabenor Bank Negara…Hang tengok dalam UMNO berapa kerat je teknokrat dalam Majlis Tertinggi…kebanyakkannya orang sastera…..

Ibrahim Kati

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